Polarization on abortion in the USA

Polarization on abortion in the USA

Some comments below made me want to look at attitudes toward abortion in the USA by ideology over the decades. I know that political party polarization on social issues has played out mostly over the past 20 years or, but I assumed that this was less evident in ideology (mostly, liberal Republicans became Democrats and conservative Democrats became Republicans). I looked at the ABANY question:

Please tell me whether or not you think it should be possible for a pregnant woman to obtaina legal abortion if:The woman wants it for any reason?

Then I combined years to produce four decades. 1977-1980 = 70s, 1981-1990 = 80s, 1991-2000 = 90s, and 2001-2008 = 00s. I compared this with the POLVIEWS variable, which goes from extremely liberal to extremely conservative. I constrained the sample to whites to control somewhat for population confounds. Below are the results by decade in various formats.

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Raw data, % who say “yes” to abortion for any reason:


Decade Extreme Liberal Liberal Slightly Liberal Moderate Slightly Conservative Conservative Extremely Conservative
1970s 62 49 42 34 36 33 31
1980s 66 56 49 38 38 30 19
1990s 72 66 59 43 40 26 22
2000s 79 69 55 42 36 21 26

As you can see, the gap between extremes went from 30 points in the 70s to 50 points in the 00s.

Razib Khan